2 What Is The Difference Between Happening-Truth And Story-Truth Tool For Increasing Stock Market Accuracy

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Tool For Increasing Stock Market Accuracy

Global stock markets are attracting newcomers every day due to the prospect of attractive returns on their investments. Global markets have become truly interdependent with the liberalization of fund flows from surplus markets to potential markets which has already led to fair valuations of global stocks. Tools for predicting the stock market are still evolving. There is a need to improve the accuracy of market forecasting to maintain interest in the stock market.

My area of ​​interest is in increasing the accuracy level of stock market forecasting on a daily basis. The following points need to be studied more in order to come up with stock market forecast on daily basis.

1. Global Markets: In these days of digital revolution, no market is safe from the impact of events in other markets around the world. It turns out that they rise and fall together even though they have very little in common. For example, with the time lag between global markets, we often see the impact of the US market on Asian and European markets. This leader ship constantly changes. One day it’s the US market’s turn to signal other markets to zoom, the next it’s the Asian markets that lead the way. Another day is the turn of the European market. So in my opinion global market trends need to be given due weight age to increase the accuracy level of stock market prediction.

2. News stories: It is often observed that markets react immediately to news. This is especially true for negative news. For example, a terrorist attack, an airplane hijack, a statement by a world leader that could lead to war or tension, the sudden collapse of an elected government, the resignation of a major political leader often have a devastating effect on the market. So news stories need to be constantly monitored and updated before the news affects the market to enable investors to square their positions and avoid huge losses. Hence it is necessary to give appropriate weight age to increase the level of accuracy in stock market prediction.

3. Commodity prices: Volatility in commodity prices is often seen to affect the stocks of the sector irrespective of whether the stock prices may incur losses or gains due to fluctuations in commodity prices. A rise in oil prices is often seen leading to a rally in energy stocks or a fall in oil prices leading to a sharp decline in energy prices. Hence sector specific stocks need to be given appropriate weight age to commodity prices.

I suggest that the following weight age can be given to increase the level of accuracy of stock market prediction on daily basis:

1. Stock Basic: 25%

2. Macro Economic Factor: 15%

3. Futures and Options: 10%

4. World Market : 20%

5. News News : 20%

6. Cost of goods: 10%

Perhaps, these tools increase the level of accuracy of stock market predictions and market traders can avoid losses to some extent by using them. No organization can accurately predict where stock markets stand in the medium or short term or long term due to their ever-changing dynamics. The IF factor may not happen as we have predicted and therefore market players need to pay due attention to the changing dynamics that affect the stock movement rather than relying only on the fundamentals of the stock.

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